On January
26, 2012, the Department of Health and Human Services published the 2012
Federal Poverty Guidelines (FPL). At that time, the single guideline rose to
$11,170, which is up 2.57% over the 2011 single guideline. That’s a 464.1% growth in the rate of change.
This could
have profound ramifications for the indexing of the 9.5% affordability
threshold.
As you
advise your clients on plan strategy, you may be able to look to the FPL growth
as an indicator of income growth. The FPL is a simplified version of the
federal poverty thresholds set by the Census Bureau and is used mainly for administrative
purposes, such as determining financial eligibility for subsidies in the State
Insurance Exchanges. The poverty thresholds set by the Census
Bureau act as the starting point for the FPL calculation, with adjustments made
based on the prior year’s Consumer Price Index for Urban Consumers (CPI-U).
On January
25, 2012 the Federal Reserve issued a release stating a
long term goal of 2% inflation annually, “as measured by the annual change in
the price index for personal consumption expenditures” (the CPI-U). In 2010 and
2011 the FPL increased 0% and 0.55% respectively. The recent increase of 2.57%
more closely aligns with the Fed’s stated inflation goal.
Regardless,
the cost of insurance is increasing at a faster rate than income. In the
absence of indexing, more individuals would become eligible for subsidies on
the exchange every year. That, in turn,
would cause stress on the viability of the exchanges. With the provision in
place, as income growth increases more slowly than premium cost, the
affordability percentage will adjust to reflect the excess.
The
Supreme Court will issue rulings soon. Regardless of the outcome, it's vital that we understand the
consequences and the details of this legislation, and how it may affect your clients. We will
continue to work hard to lead the way through PPACA, including the indexing of
the affordability measurement.
Jennifer Riley, PHR
CHROME Consultant
www.continuoushealth.com
This article was first featured in the March 27th edition of our e-newsletter, Directions. If you'd like to receive that weekly email, contact directions@continuoushealth.com. (Your email will never be shared, sold, or otherwise distributed, and you will receive only the type of content for which you sign up.)
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